How Would the Second Great Depression Affect Society?
Abstract: A global depression is a nebulous term. It is much worse than a recession, with GDP falling significantly and usually lasting...
Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 14
Directed Fiction: Scanning the future with scenario prompts
Directed Fiction Defined: Directed fiction is a strategic foresight tool designed to simultaneously consider multiple plausible future...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 7
Alternative Futures: The use of fiction to explore competing visions
Abstract: Alternate Futures are compared using the foresight technique of Directed Fiction. Directed Fiction seeks to blend the foresight...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 7
Alternative Futures: Growth and Decay
Appendix A. Appendix A to Alternative Futures describes a world in which we see a continuation of the current economic status quo, big...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 7
Alternative Futures: Threats and New Hope
Appendix B. Appendix B to Alternative Futures describes a world in which a catastrophic event is immanent. The emphasis is on how...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 7
Alternative Futures: Wasteworlds
Appendix C. Appendix C to Alternative Futures describes a world in which a catastrophic event has already occurred. There have been...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 7
Alternative Futures: The Powers that Be
Appendix D. Appendix D to Alternative Futures describes a world in which a catastrophic event or phenomenon (often man-made) has already...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 7
Alternative Futures: Disarray
Appendix E. Appendix E to Alternative Futures describes a world in which we see a recognizable world absent of apparent transformations,...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Feb 7
Alternative Futures: Inversion
Appendix F. Appendix F to Alternative Futures highlights what is perhaps the greatest strength of science fiction for use as a tool for...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jan 17
Imagining the Future: The rapid classification of fiction archetypes
Abstract: Classifying fiction illuminates the future. The technique for imagining the future presented in this paper using a rapid,...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Dec 29, 2021
Book Review - Becoming a Professional Futurist: A Five-Step Approach
For sound and practical advice, tons of useful information, and an assortment of extremely helpful tools, “Becoming a Professional...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Dec 7, 2021
Strategic Foresight – Axes of Uncertainty
(paid link) Debunking Preterism by Brock David Hollett: This book grew on me. My initial interest in Christian eschatology was sparked by...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Dec 7, 2021
How Do You Use Strategic Foresight?
One of the explicit motivations for writing my novel was to showcase some of the tools and techniques of Strategic Foresight for a...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jul 1, 2021
Strategic Foresight - Futurism
(paid link) Future Smart by James Canton: Increasing velocity and complexity define the world, and you’d better figure out how to deal...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jul 1, 2021
Strategic Foresight - Futurism
(paid link) Futuring - The Exploration of the Future by Edward Cornish: This is a book I really love. Edward Cornish is the president of...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jul 1, 2021
Strategic Foresight - Futurism
(paid link) Future Savvy by Adam Gordon: Before we delve into the complex, difficult, and sometimes even dangerous world of futurism, it...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jul 1, 2021
Strategic Foresight - Systems Thinking
(paid link) Business Analytics by Randy Bartlett: Strategic Foresight is a lot more than just studying graphs and charts and making...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jun 29, 2021
Systems Thinking - Examples
BDAC and Humanitarian Relief Operations With the rise of modernity, basic humanitarian disaster relief activities have given way to...
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jun 29, 2021
Strategic Foresight
(paid link) Scenario Planning in Organizations by Thomas Chermack: The first rule of the Futurist is: Do not make point predictions....
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Dr. Timothy X. Merritt
- Jun 28, 2021
Foresight Scenario Testing - Part 4
SWOT Analysis Introduction This variation of the SWOT analysis differs significantly from traditional business applications which focus...
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